We score every call we make.
Whale calls, a daily market analysis and trading signals: written down before the result, scored afterwards by a fixed rule, misses included.
Trading signals
The Combination strategy on the 4-hour chart, followed to its end. The losers stay.
Daily analysis
Odds for BTC and ETH every day, scored 24 hours later against what the market did.
Whale calls
Which way the largest profitable wallets lean, called at 08:00 UTC and scored a day later.
Written down first
Every call is recorded before the result is known. Nothing is added afterwards.
Scored by a fixed rule
The rule is set in advance and applied to every call alike, 24 hours later or at the signal's end.
Misses stay
Losses and wrong calls stay on the page. With too few calls to judge, it says so and shows counts, not a percentage.
The record
Live from the server. Every number below is read when you open the page.
Signals
The Combination strategy on the 4-hour chart: a published signal is followed to its end, the losers too. R is the move measured in units of the planned risk, gross of fees, funding and slippage.
Daily market analysis
Once a day a model writes odds for BTC and ETH over the next 24 hours: up, flat or down, against a flat band of half the usual daily move. The bar shows the odds; once scored, the outcome that happened lights up. Each view is scored 24 hours later with the Brier score (0 is perfect; always saying one third each scores 0.667).
Whale calls
Limits, plainly
- This is a risk assessment and a public scorecard, not trading advice. Nothing here tells you to buy or sell.
- The whale data is one exchange's sample: the largest profitable wallets on Hyperliquid, read every minute. It is not the whole market.
- With few calls, a good or bad run is mostly luck. The calls of one day move together, so they are not independent evidence.
- Signal R is gross. Real trading adds fees, funding and slippage, which make results worse.
- The signal record restarted on the date shown above. The earlier record is archived, not erased or edited, and none of it is counted here.
- The daily analysis is written by a language model from public prices, official data and headlines. It can be wrong, and the score shows how often.